Since I got the Kennedy retirement right, here's my next prediction: Justice Brett Kavanaugh Kavanaugh, like Gorsuch, would be another Scalia on the Court, as I explain in my book on Scalia's legacyhttps://www.amazon.com/Justice-Contradictions-Antonin-Politics-Disruption/dp/0300228643/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1516904231&sr=8-1&keywords=richard+l.+hasen …
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I explained
@TPM what A Kennedy retirement will mean for voting rights: https://talkingpointsmemo.com/cafe/scalias-goal-of-unwinding-voter-protections-is-becoming-a-reality … and civil rights in general: https://talkingpointsmemo.com/cafe/supreme-court-greatest-civil-rights-cause … Now I expect the left will begin to care as much about the Court as the right, and there will be little to do about itShow this thread -
Democrats have no power to stop this nomination. The only thing that would stop it is if Trump nominates someone not acceptable to Republicans. And I expect those "moderate" Republicans to fold, as they always do when McConnnell demands it.Rick Hasen added,
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Kennedy's letter also shows the kind of defeatism I wrote about yesterday
@Slate Heard from a number of folks today who said Kennedy would have retired at the Court's public session to have the live audience. But he's done. Kennedy out <mic drop>Show this thread -
In my Scalia book I called the battle over Kennedy's successor "World War III," Now I'm not so sure if McConnell can hold his people together. It will take public protests in streets to even try to move few moveable Republicans---remember Flake, McCain would love another Scalia
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Let's not forget the Trump Bump that will come in the midterms when he and McConnell deliver another Scalia to the Court before November. Evangelicals will eat it up.
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And here's my piece
@latimesopinion on what it will mean when Roberts is the new SWING Justicehttp://www.latimes.com/opinion/op-ed/la-oe-hasen-roberts-swing-vote-20170410-story.html …Show this thread
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oh my God you were right and an entire generation is f*cked because not enough people voted in 2014
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Or 2016.
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If Rs successfully appoint a new justice, I wonder if the next move is for Ds to begin calling to pack the court, FDR-style?
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We’re Cooked
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Not seeing how they lose it before January regardless of the election. If McCain dies he gets interim replaced, right?
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Don't expect anything but a very conservative appointment from Arizona's governor, Doug Ducey. He has national aspirations.
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They see conspiracies all around because they are always conspiring.
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He is also preventing DEM senators in tight races from campaigning for a month.
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