Reihan SalamVerifisert konto

@reihan

Brooklyn, NY
Registrerte seg april 2008
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  1. Festet tweet
    19. jun. 2017

    My wife made this video to celebrate our engagement a few months ago and it's my favorite thing:

    44 svar 25 retweets 276 liker
    Angre
  2. Retweetet
    for 21 timer siden

    Rather than spending more money doing the same things with a dwindling number of students, NYC schools should implement reforms that respond to parent and student needs. via Ray Domanico

    1 svar 2 retweets 4 liker
    Angre
  3. Retweetet
    15. sep.

    (Also, I have a piece coming out in the near future on the legitimacy hypothesis, so stay tuned for that.)

    1 retweet 6 liker
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    Angre
  4. Retweetet
    15. sep.

    anyway, it's a working paper, and I don't want to be hostile. But I think the main metric is bad, and the basic problem of identifying civilian intent isn't addressed. And large accounts noticed the study, so I feel the need to highlight its flaws.

    Police violence causes citizens to cooperate less with the police. That probably increases crime.
    3 svar 1 retweet 6 liker
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    Angre
  5. Retweetet
    15. sep.

    Of course, maybe that's not what happened in the other eight cities. But as I explained, neither my analysis of cities where you can separate out civilian calls, nor prior research, jives with this. So I'm skeptical!

    Svar til @CharlesFLehman @ProfDesmondAng
    My own analysis, based on data from cities where you can filter out only civilian calls, finds no effect. (Can provide sources for the data.) 2/
    1 svar 1 retweet 4 liker
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    Angre
  6. Retweetet
    15. sep.

    Anyway, Reuters did the work that Prof. Ang and his colleagues did not. Here's police dispatches, from 911 calls and from officers. What's driving the effect in Minneapolis?

    2 svar 4 retweets 16 liker
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    Angre
  7. Retweetet
    15. sep.

    Prof. Ang responded that the finding held when they filtered out some calls they thought were primarily officer-initiated. I responded that I didn't think that was adequate, and he never replied.

    Svar til @CharlesFLehman
    Great point. The data doesn't explicitly label officer-initiated calls. However, we can filter out calls related to traffic stops & patrols (i.e., incidents arising from proactive policing) and find a similar pattern, suggesting it's not due to changes in police intensity
    1 svar 1 retweet 3 liker
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    Angre
  8. Retweetet
    15. sep.

    As I poined out to Prof. Ang, the paper doesn't distinguish civilian calls for service from officer CFS — it just lumps them together. But if civilian calls were flat, and officers are behind the drop, then there can't be a legitimacy effect.

    Svar til @ProfDesmondAng
    Hi, Prof. Desmond. How are you differentiating police CFS from civilians from police CFS from officers? The two are often lumped together in call data, and you don't really cover this in the data section.
    1 svar 1 retweet 6 liker
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    Angre
  9. Retweetet
    15. sep.

    One of the cities they analyze in the paper is Minneapolis.

    1 svar 1 retweet 5 liker
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    Angre
  10. Retweetet
    15. sep.

    Last week, published this WP finding a sharp decline in calls for service in the immediate aftermath of the Floyd killing, which he and coauthors attributed to a legitimacy effect

    How does police violence affect public cooperation w/ law enforcement? In a new WP w/ , we find large declines in crime-reporting after the murder of George Floyd. Across 8 cities, 911 calls per gunshot drop by 50% & total calls by 25%. 1/5
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    1 svar 4 retweets 5 liker
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    Angre
  11. Retweetet
    15. sep.

    Want to draw attention to something identified in this piece:

    Gosh, I wonder why
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    4 svar 4 retweets 11 liker
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    Angre
  12. Retweetet
    15. sep.

    Rather than trying to switch careers altogether, cops are leaving jurisdictions that don’t want them for jurisdictions that do. via

    6 svar 7 retweets 19 liker
    Angre
  13. Retweetet
    13. sep.

    Also: even people who are sympathetic to this point keep repeating the claim that only homicide rose. That's just false—violence, as measured by homicide, shootings, and assault, all went up. GTA did too, reflecting (I think) that lockdowns kept other property offenses low

    When you cut through the gaslighting, the Third Way report says what I and others have been saying for months: most property crime down, murders, assaults, and GTAs up significantly.
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    4 svar 8 retweets 28 liker
    Angre
  14. Retweetet
    14. sep.

    My tribute to Norm Macdonald:

    9 svar 83 retweets 487 liker
    Angre
  15. Retweetet
    14. sep.

    Good summary of the new et al. paper: experience matters for quality of policing, and we could conceivably use pay incentives to increase the number of experienced cops in the highest-crime areas.

    8 retweets 10 liker
    Angre
  16. Retweetet
    12. sep.

    Now do homicides and shootings… I’m not sure we should find that much to be relieved about in decreases in crime categories that should’ve seen sharp declines in light of the lockdowns. But I’m positive it’s wrong to characterize concern about a murder spike as “hysteria.”

    “There seems to be a hysteria that began about a year and half ago to try and convince Americans that we’re undergoing another crime wave. At a certain point, we just wanted to look at what the actual data was. And it doesn’t bear up.”
    6 svar 26 retweets 95 liker
    Angre
  17. Retweetet
    11. sep.

    🚨Stay tuned for more pictures, videos, and transcripts👇

    1 retweet 6 liker
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    Angre
  18. Retweetet
    11. sep.

    Such a wonderful and inspiring night spent in the wonderful company of so many amazing people!

    Tonight, we welcome over 450 people to New York City to honor and John Paulson at our 2021 Hamilton Awards Dinner. Stay tuned for exclusive photos and videos of the evening.
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    1 svar 4 retweets 17 liker
    Angre
  19. Retweetet
    11. sep.

    Tonight in NYC, spoke and received an award at gala. Spoke about his personal story and the importance of expanding opportunity for Americans.

    7 svar 9 retweets 57 liker
    Angre
  20. Retweetet
    11. sep.

    Homegrown violent extremism now consumes the lion’s share of resources of the Joint Terrorism Task Force and other units that track extremist threats. via

    4 svar 3 retweets 6 liker
    Angre
  21. Retweetet
    9. sep.

    Rather than trying to switch careers altogether, cops are leaving jurisdictions that don’t want them for jurisdictions that do. via

    6 retweets 14 liker
    Angre

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