6) NPIs like masks reducing initial viral exposure = milder infection
But deaths are fairly flat? What would explain the discrepancy?
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Some combination of (i) massive testing catching a higher percentage of cases than before, (ii) the delay between infection and deaths, (iii) more knowledgeable decision-making in treatment, and (iv) improved hospital capacity, I imagine.
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wait a month or so
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Increased testing, and those who get the virus being 20-29. It's basically dangerous for certain groups.
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I feel like this has been answered every time cases go up. There is a 3-4 week lag between case rise and death. Yes, we are better at treating, but end of October and November will be bad.
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Deaths were flat because for a couple of weeks, new infections remained in age group 30 and below. But now, the virus has begun to infiltrate older cohorts. At which point deaths begin to explode too, unfortunately.pic.twitter.com/d2quxZpVrq
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Expect a lagging effect to take place. They will increase rise eventually with better treatment techniques & more experienced medical staff.
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