The impact of the shutdown is starting to take hold: mass unemployment, bankruptcies, relapses, suicides. And yet, the political rhetoric is stuck at "flatten the curve." For all of the bluster about science-driven decisions, we are sliding into a policy-driven depression.
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We can conclude that "it's worth it," but the status quo policy will ensure Great Depression-level unemployment in the next month or two. If leaders think that's justified to defend against the virus, they should say so explicitly.
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I guess I'm in the camp of "let's do serious testing & digital/phone-based contact tracing" -- like Korea, Hong Kong, Israel etc. And let's get back to work ASAP.
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Interesting... I just don't think people are fabricating a great depression... I doubt anybody wants that... I think people are buying time without knowing the consequences. When the stock market tanks and white collar people lose their jobs this sentiment will change.
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Yeah, I agree with the last part. Policymakers don't have a clear feeling of the economic impact because their peer group—white-collar, information economy—hasn't started seeing huge consequences yet. Their policies will change when their fear-calculation changes.
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