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That is a question that requires enormous amount of study and we just won't know all the details for a long, long time.
Exactly. We are making decisions in the fog. Will be interesting to see the analysis a year from now.
Personally, I read the "quarantine now" people like Nassim Taleb and Joe Norman and find it persuasive, then read the "open up now" people like Berenson and Ginn and find some of their points persuasive, too. This doesn't seem to be an easy "follow the data" situation.
This is a very hard decision and it will require determined leadership willing to take risks and accept the consequences.
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