Thread (1/16). How is that our economic statistics suggest workers have been making slow but steady progress in recent decades, while popular perception is that their family finances are coming under increasingly untenable pressure? I've been working on this, here's my answer:
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2/ Punchline: Popular perception is correct. In 1985, the typical male worker could cover a family of four's major expenditures (housing, health care, transportation, education) on 30 weeks of salary. By 2018 it took 53 weeks. Which is a problem, there being 52 weeks in a year.pic.twitter.com/dPxmqNffOm
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3/ Why do our inflation-adjusted data say otherwise? Because inflation does not assess affordability. You don't have to take my word for it. Here's a neat study by Nobel laureate Robert Shiller making the point, as cited by Fed economist Michael Bryan: http://econintersect.com/b2evolution/blog1.php/2014/07/10/alternative-measures-of-inflation-part-3-the-challenge-of-communicating-price-stability …pic.twitter.com/csnRkAGlFu
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4/ For example, our inflation-adjusted data say car prices have not increased since the mid-1990s. Obviously, that's not remotely true. What economists are saying is that cars have gotten better so the higher sticker price doesn't reflect inflation, it reflects higher quality.
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5/ Fair enough. But, if you're a family that needs to buy a minivan, while it's nice that the 2018 Grand Caravan ($26,300 in 2018) has many features the 1996 Grand Caravan ($17,900 in 1996) did not, you still face the problem that you need an extra $8,500 to buy one.
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Replying to @oren_cass
Measure in "time cost," the avg. worker in 1996 had to work 1,480 hours to buy the Grand Caravan. In 2018, the average worker had to work only 1,160 hours, a reduction of ~22% in time cost for a MUCH better vehicle that will 3 years longer.
@swinshi@MichaelRStrain@stanveuger1 reply 1 retweet 4 likes
Median-wage worker for this calculation?
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