Maybe now is a good time to distinguish between someone who is good at statistics, and someone who is good at statistics for a journalist?
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Replying to @Metlandia
you mean like when Nate Silver told everyone that HC was not a runaway winner?
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Replying to @realMaxCastle
That's not really my point, tho. My point is that there are open questions about what %s even refer to w/unrepeatable events
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Replying to @Metlandia
Maybe, but I suspicious of any argument that assumes humans are unique little snowflakes and that behavior can't be predicted.
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Replying to @realMaxCastle
If they find concept troubling, Nate could too. Tho his job isn't querying knowledge claims, as much as retailing pixie dust
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Replying to @Metlandia
It certainly helps for Silver (and the rest) to pretend to be fortune tellers.
5:10 AM - 23 Nov 2016
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