Maybe now is a good time to distinguish between someone who is good at statistics, and someone who is good at statistics for a journalist?
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That's not really my point, tho. My point is that there are open questions about what %s even refer to w/unrepeatable events
Maybe, but I suspicious of any argument that assumes humans are unique little snowflakes and that behavior can't be predicted.
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As I said, the theory behind probability has been pursued by everyone from Leibniz to Keynes to Heisenberg
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Not sure the theory of the monad is going to get us there.
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Um, Leibniz created calculus, dude, and the modern concept ofprobability
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No shit. I'd say that I've read my Leibniz than you (graduate school and all). Maybe turn down the condescension. It doesn't help
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Haha, sure. "graduate school and all" not condescending at all. Bye.
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embarrassing
End of conversation
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If they find concept troubling, Nate could too. Tho his job isn't querying knowledge claims, as much as retailing pixie dust
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It certainly helps for Silver (and the rest) to pretend to be fortune tellers.
End of conversation
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