Robert de Neufville

@rdeneufville

I write about politics and the future. I am the Director of Communications for and a superforecaster for .

Honolulu, HI
Vrijeme pridruživanja: lipanj 2009.

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  1. Prikvačeni tweet
    4. pro 2019.

    We called the Color of the Year correctly! Atief and Scott both picked classic blue (I picked a different shade of blue, but was skeptical they would actually choose classic blue).

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  2. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    28. sij

    GCRI is hiring! GCRI is looking for one or more people to fill research assistant and project manager roles. More information is available here:

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  3. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    10. sij

    The last time earth’s atmosphere held CO2 at these numbers, trees grew at the South Pole and sea levels were 45-60 feet higher.

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  4. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    8. sij

    Happy New Year! GCRI is announcing a call for advisees and collaborators on select AI projects. If you are interested talking to us about or working with us on these projects, please send us an email following the guidelines outlined in the announcement.

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  5. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    8. sij

    Before they invented the airplane, the Wright brothers were among the most open members of the flying community. After 1902, they became secretive. A lesson from the early airplane industry for AI development:

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  6. 24. pro 2019.
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  7. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    The in collaboration with the Good Judgement foundation, launched a report containing 11 questions on the most prominent international events in the next decade.

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  8. 5. pro 2019.

    So uh we just captured a in (yes we notified the authorities)

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  9. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    4. pro 2019.

    at its best! 😉 but seriously, spot-on analysis in their latest podcast episode.

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  10. 3. pro 2019.

    New NonProphets! It's that time again—we try to forecast the Pantone 2020 Color of the Year.

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  11. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    21. stu 2019.

    Announcing a new paper on AI risk from , , Anthony Barrett, and Gary Ackerman: Lessons for Artificial Intelligence from Other Global Risks

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  12. 11. stu 2019.
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  13. 3. stu 2019.

    We share information from a knowledgeable source about how MemCons are made that throws new light on Trump's phone call with Zelensky.

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    We are (unfortunately) not the Centre for Terminator Studies.

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  15. 1. lis 2019.

    Special emergency NonProphets podcast to talk about impeachment odds.

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    Tomorrow at 5.30pm: Public Lecture from Jason Matheny on Artificial Intelligence and National Security Jason is the Founding Director of Georgetown University’s Center for Security and Emerging Technology

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    This is not new. The non-employment rate (the inverse of the employment population ratio or EPOP) always rises in recessions and falls in recoveries. But since the late 1960s it almost never fully recovers for prime-age men. It has been a one-way ratchet.

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  18. 23. ruj 2019.

    New NonProphets! The attack on Saudi Arabia, the intelligence whistleblower, and the Democratic primary race.

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    "The topic is important, Walsh’s treatment of it is sound, and his writing is clear and engaging. End Times offers an excellent general-purpose introduction on major threats to humanity." on new book in

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  20. 14. ruj 2019.

    Beautiful and profound

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