Rukmini Callimachi
3. The claim was issued in Arabic, English and French. See screengrab below archived by @MichaelSSmithIIpic.twitter.com/yitR8FNYZl
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11. Take Orlando, where they claimed the attack even before it had been widely reported that Omar Mateen had pledged allegiance to ISIS
12. So if we use time of claim as a metric for how clued in ISIS is to a given operation, Nice falls on the outer perimeter.
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13. Now lets look at language of claim, which has more in common with attacks carried out by ISIS operatives, rather than sympathizers
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15. That terminology, a soldier of the Islamic State, is what they use for their own operatives. Paris/Brussels attackers described as such
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16. Compare that to what they used for San Bernardino attackers, whom they called "supporters." See
@siteintelgrouppic.twitter.com/04IkXZcFHg
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17. No evidence has emerged of driver's radicalization. The French Interior Minister said it appeared he had become an extremist quickly.
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18. Bernard Cazeneuve: “We are faced with an attack of a new kind .. The individual who committed ... crime was not known by intelligence"
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19. To see how ISIS rationalizes murder of civilians, see their longer radio statement, thanks to
@siteintelgrouppic.twitter.com/VYmqTF5sns
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@rcallimachi I feel like you were ramping up to some conclusion... -
@CuzzinBailey No just laying out the facts - View other replies
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@rcallimachi Maybe an internal requirement of allegiance confirmation before claiming attacks? Did the Nice attacker post to social media? -
@rcallimachi Perhaps a delay in getting confirmation to decision makers....
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@rcallimachi I think they wanted to wait to make sure there wasn't some contradictory suicide note before declaring it as one of theirs... -
@rcallimachi Is it fair to say there are times when you believe ISIS may have no involvement in attacks, but want to claim responsibility?
Cuzzin Bailey
Ben Marcus
Bea Vo
Terence Begley
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