Rant on modeling 1. There are a hundred gazillion models out there. Few of their owners have bothered to compare their model to others to see what is working and what isn't.
What do you think of the modeling work done by Eva K Lee, which has now come to light in the "Red Dawn" emails? Not exactly a great example of transparency, but from my non-expert evaluation, better than much of the work.
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I have not seen that yet.
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https://int.nyt.com/data/documenthelper/6879-2020-covid-19-red-dawn-rising/66f590d5cd41e11bea0f/optimized/full.pdf … for the raw document, though the NYT has good interpretation of it in their coverage. Fascinating reading.
End of conversation
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