Raph לוי

@RaphLevy_

I'm a computer science student. I'm mainly interested in artificial intelligence, economics, psychology, and rationality.

Lyon, France
Vrijeme pridruživanja: rujan 2019.

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    Americans consistently have expressed little confidence in Russian President Vladimir Putin. But Republicans are now 21 points more likely than Democrats to express confidence him (31% vs. 10%), the widest partisan gap in our polling.

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  2. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 4 sata

    1 out of 254 on French repatriates flight from Wuhan on Sunday when infected count was 9k, 1 out of 54 on Italian flight, 2/124 on German flight . 4/432=1/108 vs official rate at 1/733 for Wuhan for that date. So about 7 x higher

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    One of the largest brain aging studies ever conducted suggests that every can of beer you drink ages your brain approximately 105 days. 🤯

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    Physiognomy, but done wrong. I bet some measures of health will correlate with conservative beliefs, in the same way they correlate negatively with atheism, a typical lefty trait.

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    6. velj

    I have tended to be sympathetic to arguments about the problem of atomization (people feeling lonely with less civic involvement, smaller families, fewer marriages) but seems worth noting satisfaction with personal life is at an all-time high, per Gallup:

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    I just don’t understand this. This is occurring to you in 2020?? This compulsory intergenerational transfusion was initiated 28-48 years ago depending on how you want to count. You are getting to this now. Here’s what happened: *3* generations below the Boomers are checked out.

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    6. velj

    "Men’s odds of marriage are decreased by working in predominately female occupations when compared with working in predominately male occupations or integrated occupations...Women’s odds of marriage are unrelated to occupational sex composition"

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    6. velj

    Evidence of massive publication bias in psychology: The number of positive results in Registered Reports (i.e., papers accepted for publication before the results are known) is vastly lower than that in regular reports: 44% vs. 96% for the first hypothesis in each paper.

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    5. velj

    WHAT squirting ice cold water into the left ear suddenly & temporarily gives people insight into their neurological blind spots?! what even are humans? ("Anosognosia is a deficit of self-awareness, a condition in which a person with a disability is unaware of having it.")

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    5. velj

    Here's an important essay from summarizing evidence that the professoriate, while leaning strongly left, does not seem to have a "brainwashing" or indoctrinating effect, when you look at relevant data:

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    6. velj

    A new meta-analysis "found that genes accounted for about half of the IQ variance across [racial] groups, while... environmental effects explained the other half."

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    EXCELLENT new study from showing that most of mindset theory's predictions are not supported by theory. Growth mindset and fixed mindset have, at best, a trivial impact on real-world behavior.

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    3. velj

    Holy cow. Google reveals it made over $15 billion from YouTube ads last year alone — up 36 percent from 2018 and 86 percent compared to 2017.

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    4. velj

    a) Trump's approval rose from 39-40 percent in Oct 2019, when impeachment inquiry began, to 49 % now

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    4. velj

    Much has been made of the headline number -- a 49 percent job approval for -- which is indeed a big deal, given it's his highest since Jan. 20, 2017

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    4. velj

    Yes, the Iowa thing was bad news for Democrats. The really bad news for them, though, is the latest Gallup Poll of registered voters.

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  17. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    4. velj

    From Pew: "Nigeria is the seventh most populous country in the world, with 206 million people. By 2100, it is projected to be the world’s third most populous country – ahead of the U.S. – with 733 million people, according to United Nations estimates." ~100 million hope to leave

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    3. velj

    Okay, so I am reading this article and it is very scary. The scary part is not that unexpected results are happening, it's that everyone quoted in the article sounds like a script kiddie who has no idea what their code does, they're just running stuff.

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  19. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    27. sij

    Bad news for meta-analyses: Comparing 15 meta-analyses to multi-lab replication attempts of the same effects, on average, meta-analytic effect sizes are almost three times as large as replication effect sizes.

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  20. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    30. sij

    13- Conclusion : les Juifs sont de très loin les plus persécutés en France. De très très loin. Suivent les chrétiens, qui subissent beaucoup d'actions et peu de menaces, et notamment des profanations d'Eglise. Et les mieux traités de tous sont les musulmans. Voilà

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