Quant Fiction

@quantfiction

Part data science, part degenerate gambling. Live trades posted on

Дата регистрации: февраль 2018 г.

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  1. Закрепленный твит
    6 окт. 2018 г.

    1) Inverse Contracts on Bitmex are unique financial instruments and probably not intuitive to most investors in more traditional assets. Traders should be aware of the following characteristics:

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  2. 2 часа назад

    Carry (storage/custodianship) and financing (opportunity cost vs risk-free instruments, lending, funding, etc.) costs were not considered because they change with time to expiry. The further out expiration is, the greater the drag on returns shown above.

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  3. 2 часа назад

    Examined the ROI on cash/carry trades executed via both Bitmex (Inverse, BTC-settled) and CME (traditional, USD-settled) futures products. The inverse nature of the Bitmex futures creates and imperfect hedge and requires re-adjustment during the trade.

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  4. 26 июн.

    Following in the tradition ($XBTUSD version): Today's marks only the 14th time since Jan 2012 that 13 of the 14 previous days closed higher than they opened (and of those, only 5 were non-contiguous)

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  5. 26 июн.

    If "irrational" doesn't describe pretty much every global asset right now, I don't know what does. Truly a great time to be alive

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  6. 24 июн.
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  7. 23 июн.

    An interesting trend comparing recent correlations between alts/btc to their historical norms. Alts typically move in tandem with btc; this hasn't been the case during the current rally

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  8. 21 июн.
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  9. 21 июн.

    This has always been my favorite Reminiscences quote and I think it's particularly apt right now

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  10. 19 июн.

    If these leverage numbers are still accurate, there's significantly more margin behind CME contracts than Bitmex at the moment. Definitely a development to watch

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  11. ретвитнул(а)
    19 июн.
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  12. ретвитнул(а)
    19 июн.

    Thanks for the tweet! Full documentation will be uploaded soon :)

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  13. ретвитнул(а)
    17 июн.

    Pump to 20k - only needs 100 more followers. One of the best traders on Twitter. Keep killing it, Red!

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  14. 17 июн.

    Re-visited this over 6 months later and (good news) the relationships still hold. Also good news: we're starting to see instances of Cluster 1 return after a dead 2018.

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  15. 17 июн.

    In today's edition of (useless) stats: If today's daily candle closes green, it will be the 6th one in a row. Next-day returns the previous times that's happened:

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  16. ретвитнул(а)
    17 июн.
    В ответ
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  17. 16 июн.
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  18. 16 июн.

    Seeing a lot of calls for an "SFP" Something to keep in mind.. here's what happens if you shorted every time a 20-day high was broken, then closed back under.

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  19. ретвитнул(а)
    13 июн.

    1, Every trader has a unique look into the market, I personally really enjoy looking deep into the mechanics of a financial product (Bitmex's XBTUSD contract in this case).

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  20. 12 июн.

    One of few threads I've actually read to the bottom recently. Well worth it!

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  21. ретвитнул(а)
    12 июн.

    Backtesting is not a research tool. If a strategy does not perform well in a backtest, do not tweak it (overfit) until the backtest looks good. Instead, investigate how the research process misled you into backtesting a false strategy. Fix the research process, not the strat.

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