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2/ In the last 25 years, Dems have won every popular vote except 2004—and Republicans winning in 2004 required Ohio's Republican Secretary of State deliberately creating 9-hour voting lines in majority-minority Ohio precincts so that George W. Bush could win Ohio by 50,000 votes.
Don't forget that the Democrats won when the electorate was voting for their state EC votes. There's no guarantee the turnout or result would be the same if people know the popular vote matters instead. But the likely outcome is that more people would vote in non-swing states.
