Very Talebian take concerns about small but significant risks @nntaleb https://medium.com/s/story/the-surprisingly-solid-mathematical-case-of-the-tin-foil-hat-gun-prepper-15fce7d10437 …
Is it rational to own firearms in case American civilization hits a rough patch? A rough-and-ready mathematical analysis.... https://medium.com/s/story/the-surprisingly-solid-mathematical-case-of-the-tin-foil-hat-gun-prepper-15fce7d10437 …
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Perhaps we should be asking, would Chuck Norris, MacGuyver, or Kevin McCallister need one?
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It looks like the author is saying that an event that happens every 170 years is more probable than one that happens every 100 years. Can that be right? What am I missing?
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THAT was a fascinating read. Thank you for posting it.
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