This debate is not about who has more probabilities of being right. It is about what happens if one is wrong.
Is the debate over AI between @elonmusk and Zuckerberg just a vacuous 'geek fight'? Nope. Read this and watch the @SamHarrisOrg TED talk.https://twitter.com/QuilletteM/status/891620136913973249 …
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Btw: if Zuck had 60% prob of being right, we'd be prepared in case he'd be wrong. The fact he's right in 99% of cases is what is dangerous.
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