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primalpoly's profile
Geoffrey Miller
Geoffrey Miller
Geoffrey Miller
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@primalpoly

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Geoffrey MillerVerified account

@primalpoly

Psychology professor; wrote The Mating Mind, Spent, Mate, & Virtue Signaling. Agnostic centrist into evolution, sex, sentience, freedom & future.

New Mexico
primalpoly.com
Joined September 2015

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    1. Geoffrey Miller‏Verified account @primalpoly May 25
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      Geoffrey Miller Retweeted Robin Hanson

      The pandemic is costing the world more than $30 trillion this year (over 30% of over $100 trillion GWP at PPP). Seems like it would have been prudent to spend a few trillion on pandemic preparedness over the last few decades.https://twitter.com/robinhanson/status/1264926947156594689 …

      Geoffrey Miller added,

      Robin HansonVerified account @robinhanson
      "we show that the average real GDP downturn due to the Covid-19 shock is expected to be -31.5%" https://www.nber.org/papers/w27224 
      Show this thread
      34 replies 53 retweets 248 likes
    2. Lucio Martelli‏ @LucioMM1 May 25
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      Replying to @primalpoly

      Well, no. It is not the pandemic that is costing us that, rather the series of absolutely not inevitable choices that societies made given the pandemic, . Seems like we should have spent resources to avoid being this terrible at decisionmaking.

      2 replies 0 retweets 8 likes
      Geoffrey Miller‏Verified account @primalpoly May 25
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      Replying to @LucioMM1

      Coherent plans for handling a pandemic would have been part of pandemic preparedness.

      7:45 AM - 25 May 2020
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      3 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
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        2. Lucio Martelli‏ @LucioMM1 May 25
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          Replying to @primalpoly

          No, the point was that even given the "lack of preparedness" (which is something very weird to say when thinking about swizterland and israel, but nevermind) it was very possible to minimize the economic damage of the pandemic if political leaders weren't mostly incapable

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. NotMyName‏ @NotMyNameWhoU May 25
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          Replying to @LucioMM1 @primalpoly

          I would argue that we have made our political leaders incapable by consistently voting for people who are unwilling to compromise. We, the people of the US, voted in these politicians who have become so awful at leading, that we can only blame ourselves.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Lucio Martelli‏ @LucioMM1 May 25
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          Replying to @primalpoly

          the price most countries are paying is linked to absurd and insane value scales shared by leaders and voters, not by any intrisic economic damage caused by covid (if not for a very small portion of the total). A pensioner dying is not economic damage.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        2. Mrb‏ @wrycountenance May 25
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          Replying to @primalpoly @LucioMM1

          That is highly, perhaps naively, optimistic. First example I can think of that actually having occurred was when the Netherlands actually implemented 10000 year storm levels for dyke designs, but that only happened after catastrophic failure with a high conscientious culture

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Mrb‏ @wrycountenance May 25
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          Replying to @wrycountenance @primalpoly @LucioMM1

          Far more likely would be graft and misappropriation. Even worse, next catastrophe will likely be orthogonal to preparation.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation

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