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primalpoly's profile
Geoffrey Miller
Geoffrey Miller
Geoffrey Miller
Verified account
@primalpoly

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Geoffrey MillerVerified account

@primalpoly

Psychology professor; wrote The Mating Mind, Spent, Mate, & Virtue Signaling. Agnostic centrist into evolution, sex, sentience, freedom & future.

New Mexico
primalpoly.com
Joined September 2015

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    1. Geoffrey Miller‏Verified account @primalpoly Apr 2
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      Geoffrey Miller Retweeted Seung Min Kim

      6.6 million people unemployed last week. 3.3 million the week before. Dow is up. 🙈https://twitter.com/seungminkim/status/1245700929434931200 …

      Geoffrey Miller added,

      Seung Min KimVerified account @seungminkim
      This @washingtonpost chart makes the point better than any words can. Stunning. pic.twitter.com/1vcEb49Ifx
      16 replies 6 retweets 72 likes
    2. Mats Vinnaren‏ @MatsVinnaren Apr 2
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      Replying to @primalpoly

      Of course, a lot of this got priced in during the initial panic collapse of indexes.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Geoffrey Miller‏Verified account @primalpoly Apr 2
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      Replying to @MatsVinnaren

      I don't see how investors a month ago could have priced in a likely 20% unemployment rate by summer

      10:13 AM - 2 Apr 2020
      • 1 Like
      • Peter Jeffers
      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        2. Maximally‏ @maxefremov Apr 2
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          Replying to @primalpoly @MatsVinnaren

          Did we experience a larger, sharper drop than the Great Depression? And they had periods of 25% unemployment.

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Mats Vinnaren‏ @MatsVinnaren Apr 2
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          Replying to @maxefremov @primalpoly

          Spanish Flu caused a -12 % bottom for Dow Jones. Certainly causalities have changed from then, in many a way, so it won't serve as a predictive benchmark. The drop was so fast as to indicate of big panic & unknowns. Bad(dish) - not doom's - day scenario was priced in 2 weeks ago

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation
        1. Mats Vinnaren‏ @MatsVinnaren Apr 2
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          Replying to @primalpoly

          That's why I used 'a lot' instead of 'most'/'all'. If 20 % is likely, I agree with you. Many professional investors agree with you that the market is weirdly - or irrationally - bullish at the moment. Volatility of Boeing serves as a prime example of lack of long-term insight.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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