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In a week the US will have at least 30,000 cases. Then another 33% per day after that...https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1240373707224363014 …
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That 33% per day line is super misleading - implies doubling time of 2.5 days. I don't think any epidemiologist is suggesting that as the real number even w/o mitigation measures. The estimates are 5-6 days, ~12% increase per day. 33% works for old data b/c of testing delays.
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Who is missing on the graph is Taiwan. Which hasn't reach 100 cases yet AND doesn't have it's entire economy shutdown. How? thanks to the amount of sh*t Beijing constantly throw their way, they saw the sh*t storm coming before everyone else.
#Taiwan#TaiwanCanHelp#COVID19Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Compared to the chart below, this chart is already outdated I guess.https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1240259937197948933?s=20 …
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moral of the story: be polite and respectful to the people selling you groceries
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Consider that people near you may be dead soon.
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If you actually tested, the numbers would probably be staggering:https://www.repubblica.it/salute/medicina-e-ricerca/2020/03/16/news/coronavirus_studio_il_50-75_dei_casi_a_vo_sono_asintomatici_e_molto_contagiosi-251474302/ …
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That one italian town had 50% infected.
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