How many people in the U.S. do you think have been infected with coronavirus? (The current number of confirmed cases is 1864.) This poll will be repeated every 2 days...
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I imagine 2009 H1N1 gives us a baseline indication of impact.pic.twitter.com/joJQwXwalG
Except here the death rate seems likely to be at least 1%, and could be quite a bit higher.
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If infections are much higher then death rate is much lower.
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Certainly significantly higher death rate in elderly and individuals with underlying health conditions. But the H1N1 data shows that a large part of the population will catch the covid-19 virus at some point.
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