Prob. not as random this suggests. Italy's politicians are also paying a heavy price. Lots testing +ve incl. party leaders & staff, regional presidents and ministers + municipal mayors etc. 'Promicuous' lifestyle of meetings in badly-aired rooms, hugs, handshakes & buffet food.
Iran claims it has about 6,500 cases of Covid-19. The true number is probably at least 2 million. Here's why....https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/03/irans-coronavirus-problem-lot-worse-it-seems/607663/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=share …
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Favouring the article's hypothesis is Iran's average age (30.6 years) compared with Italy (a terrifying 45.4), so fewer complications per 1,000 cases.
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Iran population is very young; perhaps this limits the damage.
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Very interesting! Does anyone have any figures like this for how many cases are probably already here?
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Question: How many people in a country need to be projected to die of a disease before it is concerning enough to take heroic/costly actions to mitigate that number? Clearly it has to be >65,000 (upper range of seasonal flu, even with vaccines).
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