Important context from @mlipsitch:
"This is not an existential threat. It is very much like a bad pandemic of influenza, which we experienced arguably twice or three times in the 20th century, but none of those brought civilization to its knees....and this won't either."https://twitter.com/CBSEveningNews/status/1234627183529930753 …
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1:42Show this thread -
People are accusing me of minimizing the danger with this post. Look, risk communications walk a very tricky tightwire. The idea in the headline, of 40%-70% of the globe infected, may feel terrifying. The second of the interview, which I quoted, provides meaningful context.
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Something can be horrible without being an existential threat. I'm not minimizing the scope of this crisis. I am saying that I don't expect society to crumble because of it.
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True. It's a global catastrophic risk rather than an existential risk. It could kill 3% of people. On the other hand, it could kill 30% of the world economy, and it could kill 90% of trust in governments.
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