Fever dream: Designer babies are going to usher in a GATTACA world of inequality where genetically engineered super-people lord it over the rest of us peasants Reality: Designer babies are going to separate the rich from a little bit of their moneyhttps://twitter.com/ScienceNews/status/1197553078381285377 …
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What could we bet?
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Propose a bet, Geoff!
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The right (and more elegant) question would’ve been “what are the odds you’re offering on this prediction”. That’s the measure of conviction level. How “much” to bet is primarily a function of risk appetite/capital, not conviction
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The effects are likely to be modest not because the range of variation in human ability caused by genetics is small, but because we are unlikely to learn how to edit the genome to reliably produce desirable phenotypes any time in the near future.
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ooh interesting ! A Noah Smith - Geoffrey Miller Public Bet. Please bet something peculiar.
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Over what timeframe?
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