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primalpoly's profile
Geoffrey Miller
Geoffrey Miller
Geoffrey Miller
Verified account
@primalpoly

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Geoffrey MillerVerified account

@primalpoly

Psychology professor; wrote The Mating Mind, Spent, Mate, & Virtue Signaling. Agnostic centrist into evolution, sex, sentience, freedom & future.

New Mexico
primalpoly.com
Joined September 2015

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    1. "Rabbits are easy to litter-train" Smith  🐇‏Verified account @Noahpinion 4 Nov 2019
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      "Rabbits are easy to litter-train" Smith  🐇 Retweeted

      A thread about why counting Trump out in the upcoming election would be a mistake. https://twitter.com/NathanKalmoe/status/1190272743763140608 …

      "Rabbits are easy to litter-train" Smith  🐇 added,

      This Tweet is unavailable.
      6 replies 6 retweets 44 likes
    2. Geoffrey Miller‏Verified account @primalpoly 4 Nov 2019
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      Replying to @Noahpinion

      Why would any rational Bayesian familiar with history count a sitting president out of an upcoming election?

      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
    3. "Rabbits are easy to litter-train" Smith  🐇‏Verified account @Noahpinion 4 Nov 2019
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      Replying to @primalpoly

      A rational Bayesian can have any prior and still be a rational Bayesian

      3 replies 1 retweet 10 likes
    4. Geoffrey Miller‏Verified account @primalpoly 4 Nov 2019
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      Replying to @Noahpinion

      IMHO a prior inconsistent with history isn't a rational prior.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. "Rabbits are easy to litter-train" Smith  🐇‏Verified account @Noahpinion 4 Nov 2019
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      Replying to @primalpoly

      Any prior is consistent with Bayesian rationality; Bayesian rationality concerns only how priors are updated conditional on data. You are simply redefining "rationality" to mean a certain type of prior, which is fine, but it's not Bayesian.

      2 replies 1 retweet 5 likes
      Geoffrey Miller‏Verified account @primalpoly 4 Nov 2019
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      Replying to @Noahpinion

      tfw you realize you're only Bayesian-adjacent. 😥

      1:09 PM - 4 Nov 2019
      • 5 Likes
      • jreidburgess Dan Wahl "Rabbits are easy to litter-train" Smith 🐇 Stephen James Meelos Kulos
      1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
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        1. "Rabbits are easy to litter-train" Smith  🐇‏Verified account @Noahpinion 4 Nov 2019
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          Replying to @primalpoly

          Yeah, I've noticed a trend of people using the word "Bayesian" to mean having a prior based on certain sets of evidence they like or think are important. It's not that.

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        2. Wealth and Hellfare‏ @Minimum_Max 4 Nov 2019
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          Replying to @Noahpinion @primalpoly

          I worry that my main prior is Bayesianism and I don't have any good tools to evaluate it.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. 1 more reply

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