My view of the political effects of the al-Baghdadi raid: 1) Glad that we killed the bastard 2) Probably not many meaningful long term effects on Trump approval, etc. 3) Short term effects possible, and those could matter since Trump's in an extremely vulnerable political moment.
Your ideological bias is so obvious that it's painful to witness.
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I can tell by the replies here that
@NateSilver538 has some real quality followers!#impressed - 1 more reply
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So is yours!
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What about this incredibly tame assessment makes you say that?
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I get that Nate has a bias and everything. But his assessment seems to jive with similar circumstances in the past as detailed by other pollsters.
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Is there bias involved in noting that the death of Osama Bin Laden only had a temporary boost in Obama's approval rating and one would expect something similar here? What is Silver saying here that you disagree with?
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How so?
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That's some top tier projection there.
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Nice test let’s put a flag here and see who is more accurate in 1 month,
@primalpoly I assume you are predicting longer term support effects.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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