Is 'guilt by association' a good basis for judging people?
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Noticing associations are part of being accurate about other peoples beliefs and motivations. Don't try to make this another forbidden base rate.
How large a sample of someone's associations do you need to make it a reliable statistical predictor? Just one?
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Depends on context. Imagine a world where being an effective altruist is against current norms. If I see you at an EA conference, then at a dinner date with Peter Singer. Despite publically saying "I'm not EA, just happen to promote charities that are effective" I will call BS!
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What if I was just EA-curious?
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