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When you're dealing with such stakes statistical probabilities aren't the only factor, no? I concur that its unlikely to cause human extinction, but billions of casualties? There are several ways for this to happen as a consequence of climate change, most likely world wars
So climate change is a major risk mainly because it could lead to nuclear war? Maybe we should focus on the nuclear war itself?
Things happen because something causes them to happen. Because we have no way of accounting for every nuclear weapon in the world we can't disarm and no other country would either. Therefore we must arm ourselves against potential causes
Oh, come on. He didn't say anything about nuclear war. IF climate change is real and IF it's happening as rapidly as the most extreme projections suggest then there will be resource shortages (mostly water) in the equatorial regions, which MAY lead to conflicts between states.
Well, I just did. But I don't think its 1+1=2. The concern is that (A) instability around the globe and (B) resource shortages will lead to steadily escalating conflict and it is at THIS point where world war become possible and unimaginable in its scale and devastation
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