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You're making the same mistake her fans are by making it about her. Scientists have been concerned about climate change for decades. And as for nuclear war, we came within a hair of it happening in 1962. We got lucky
I didn't say we shouldn't worry about climate change. I've consistently said that it's not an existential risk to humanity the way that global thermonuclear war is still an X-risk.
Thinking in terms of converging catastrophes, couldn't a changing climate make conflict & the risk of nuclear war even more likely?
Maybe. But lots of other things could make a nuclear war more likely, and they're not getting as much attention.
Agreed but it would be more correct to say that the probability of climate change causing human extinction is too low. I agree because all technological interventions would have to fail not because I know what experts estimate the probability of runaway climate change to be.
When you're dealing with such stakes statistical probabilities aren't the only factor, no? I concur that its unlikely to cause human extinction, but billions of casualties? There are several ways for this to happen as a consequence of climate change, most likely world wars
Climate change is not an X-risk for (the abstract notion of) humanity (just for some real, mostly poor, humans)... its more like aids, making other X-risks far more likely
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