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Dude, correlations of .35 are pretty much trash in nonlinear domains. In stuff like sports analytics, you can work w/them cuz you're in domains that normalize due to large sample sets. W/*outcomes* of human intelligence (like wealth), throw it all out the window. https://twitter.com/primalpoly/status/1141449433080455168 …
We make real-life judgments all the time based on probabilistic cues that correlated .35 or less with outcome variables. But, you do you.
When you make those decisions, it's called bullshit vending. Outcomes in real life, like wealth, aren't the same as the odds of winning a championship or how many games the Warriors win next season. It's a different domain.
You're trying to apply .35 correlations to domains w/Pareto tails. That is idiotic.
Shouldn’t scientist be held to a higher standard than “we all make judgment on 0.35 correlation” ?
They're not scientists. They're social scientists. So no, they won't hold themselves to standards that would show that everything they've done for their entire lives is bullshit. It would leave them w/very hard choices, which most ppl choose to avoid.
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