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primalpoly's profile
Geoffrey Miller
Geoffrey Miller
Geoffrey Miller
Verified account
@primalpoly

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Geoffrey MillerVerified account

@primalpoly

Evolutionary psych professor; wrote some books. Into the deep past & far future, esp. genes, minds, civilizations, sex, freedom, families, & Effective Altruism.

New Mexico
primalpoly.com
Joined September 2015

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    Geoffrey Miller‏Verified account @primalpoly Oct 24

    False flag attacks have been common for centuries. Given any act of apparent political terrorism, journalists should always be asking: Why these targets? Why this timing? Who really benefits? Could this be yet another false flag? Not asking = incentivizing more false flags.

    7:41 AM - 24 Oct 2018
    • 1,168 Retweets
    • 3,226 Likes
    • Politiikka 100 S†acιa Ca†hryn toothpaste boy Gribsby Jackson Puggo Jeff DeMass proud to be british El Chefe Ebube.
    229 replies 1,168 retweets 3,226 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Michael‏ @SudokuMr Oct 24
        Replying to @primalpoly @RonaldDPotts1

        Would you be asking these questions if Republicans were targeted?

        8 replies 0 retweets 33 likes
      3. Geoffrey Miller‏Verified account @primalpoly Oct 24
        Replying to @SudokuMr @RonaldDPotts1

        Yes.

        8 replies 1 retweet 114 likes
      4. Hail Satan‏ @widowsweedspvd Oct 25
        Replying to @primalpoly @SudokuMr @RonaldDPotts1

        No.

        1 reply 0 retweets 53 likes
      5. Hail Satan‏ @widowsweedspvd Oct 26
        Replying to @widowsweedspvd @primalpoly and

        Any hot new leads in your investigation today Geoffrey?

        1 reply 1 retweet 15 likes
      6. 2 more replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Joel Barker‏ @JoelByronBarker Oct 24
        Replying to @primalpoly

        This is one of those ironic posts you mention in your profile! I get it. It makes it easy to dispense with the idea that your tweets are thought out and credible.... or DOES it? I am not good at irony, so will just say I think investigating is way more useful than speculating.pic.twitter.com/4t9Jisd4Hj

        1 reply 0 retweets 12 likes
      3. Geoffrey Miller‏Verified account @primalpoly Oct 24
        Replying to @JoelByronBarker

        I wasn't speculating. Just pointing out a historical pattern and calling for full investigation with due skepticism about likely culprits. If you read anything else into my tweet, that's on you.

        3 replies 0 retweets 19 likes
      4. Jacob Rose  🗽‏ @jickup Oct 27
        Replying to @primalpoly @JoelByronBarker

        Why didn’t you raise the Big Bird hypothesis, then? You know, that Carroll Spinney retired from playing the iconic children’s television character so that ge could start this bombing campaign? It’s just as rational as the baloney you actually floated.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      5. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Intersectional Snark Web‏ @Sexismisme Oct 25
        Replying to @primalpoly

        Intersectional Snark Web Retweeted

        Really awesome to see an avowed Bayesian jump straight to false flags, because that’s surely the most likely explanation for a terrorist attack. https://twitter.com/primalpoly/status/906283267103498240?s=21 …

        Intersectional Snark Web added,

        This Tweet is unavailable.
        3 replies 0 retweets 20 likes
      3. Geoffrey Miller‏Verified account @primalpoly Oct 25
        Replying to @Sexismisme

        I'm making the Bayesian point that false flags have been common and should be considered as one possibility. That's all. Not presuming either way.

        3 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
      4. Ryan Beren‏ @BerenRyan Oct 25
        Replying to @primalpoly @Sexismisme

        That's not Bayesian. A Bayesian point would start by looking at the relative rates of ordinary attacks versus "false flag" attacks.

        0 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
      5. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Not Scott F.‏ @notscottf Oct 25
        Replying to @primalpoly

        Not Scott F. Retweeted Jon Swaine

        This is the promoting of conspiracy theory under the guise of open-mindedness. 1) False flag attacks are much more rare than overt attacks, so any Bayesian analysis has to start with that prior. 2) The voicers of this theory are largely partisans:https://twitter.com/jonswaine/status/1055175217641865216 …

        Not Scott F. added,

        Jon SwaineVerified account @jonswaine
        Trump backers who have suggested the bombs are a liberal hoax: Ann Coulter Rush Limbaugh Michael Savage James Woods Mike Flynn Jr. Frank Gaffney Kurt Schlichter Candace Owens David Horowitz John Cardillo Laura Loomer Jacob Wohl Chadwick Moore John Lott
        4 replies 1 retweet 129 likes
      3. Not Scott F.‏ @notscottf Oct 25
        Replying to @notscottf @primalpoly

        It is most definitely true to say that we don't have any evidence yet, and obviously correct to wait for that evidence. Saying, "Hey you know what this could be? A leftist conspiracy" is NOT waiting for evidence. It's speculating against probability.

        2 replies 2 retweets 77 likes
      4. Not Scott F.‏ @notscottf Oct 25
        Replying to @notscottf @primalpoly

        The purpose of speculation like this, specifically by partisans, is to advance conspiracy theories in the minds of the public, largely to muddy the truth rather than to seek it. As @Kasparov63 observes, Putin does the same thing routinely in order to make truth seem unknowable.

        2 replies 1 retweet 47 likes
      5. Not Scott F.‏ @notscottf Oct 25
        Replying to @notscottf @primalpoly @Kasparov63

        I've seen a lot of rebuttals to the effect that False Flaggers are simply saying the possibility "should be considered." This is disingenuous; they are *advancing the notion* while appealing to open-mindedness. This is akin to saying Obama's foreign birth "should be considered."

        2 replies 1 retweet 24 likes
      6. 1 more reply
      1. New conversation
      2. Ian‏ @511Ian Oct 25
        Replying to @primalpoly

        Name the 5 most recent in the US. Because they are not common here.

        1 reply 0 retweets 11 likes
      3. Aaron Delizia‏ @Aaron_Delizia Oct 25
        Replying to @511Ian @primalpoly

        Ill give u 3: Gulf of Tonkin Incident, https://bit.ly/2ldcoes , pretext for escalating the Viatnam War Operation Northwoods, https://bit.ly/1fMDwHg , proposed, but never executed Project TP-Ajax, https://bit.ly/1snDH2Q , FF attacks on mosques and key public figures by CIA in Iran

        3 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. Ian‏ @511Ian Oct 25
        Replying to @Aaron_Delizia @primalpoly

        All of which were organized by the State. Got a single non-governmental one? (And Northwoods never was attempted)

        3 replies 0 retweets 26 likes
      5. Ian‏ @511Ian Oct 25
        Replying to @511Ian @Aaron_Delizia @primalpoly

        This is kind of the point. Unless you're entertaining the insanity that the US government was behind it, there is virtually no precedent for considering it.

        0 replies 0 retweets 28 likes
      6. End of conversation

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