I'm going to go ahead and say yes, because the costs to saying yes seem minimal.
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It's just that in our current situation, our big geographical divide isn't regional; it's urban/rural. America's blue cities need its red countryside to be economically viable, and vice versa.
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This is true globally btw
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Which do you think will happen first, the US changes its borders in a significant way, or the US ceases to exist? I'd say the first is much more likely, even though people focus on the second more. (and of course, both are very unlikely to happen in any specific time frame)
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Both would happen right around the same time if either happened, I predict.
End of conversation
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The +/- analysis of a secession is fair and interesting. I'm saying the perception of the probability of succession being anywhere but extremely low is being caused by catastrophizing about current circumstances.
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