Prediction: The current wave of AI will fizzle out after generating a handful of useful applications, but the AI ethics industry will continue to grow exponentially until there are more AI ethicists than AI researchers.
If AGI is an existential risk, that would be a win, right?
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I would guess that few of those AI ethicists would be focused on AGI specifically, mainly they would care about military drones, privacy, etc. In other words the AI risk overton window would be narrow.
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That's the stuff I was thinking of. The superintelligence stuff is niche.
End of conversation
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