A little trick I call “FOS testing.”
Confirmation bias is strong, but so are some strategies for overcoming it: debate, devil's advocacy, free speech, scientific method, peer review, steel-manning, exploit bounties, prediction markets, red-teaming, etc. What are some others you use in your life or profession?pic.twitter.com/AO99Bx6zbR
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You really bring in the big guns with your debiasing.pic.twitter.com/pna4zWTGeD
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Prediction history. I pick the filter on reality that predicts best.
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We need more betting markets for ideas, politics, etc....
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The OpenMind platform by
@JonHaidt and others looks really promising. "Steel-manning" and paraphrasing opposing viewpoints are central to several projects we tried here in Seattle. https://openmindplatform.orgThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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"Murder your darlings." --Sir Arthur Quiller-Couch In other words, avoid pet phrases and be vigilant against the allure of your own voice.
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My field is risk management. Along with stated I use Occam's razor, Linda’s problem, Hanlon's razor, Hitchens's razor and Newton's flaming laser sword. Naturally, means there’s a lot of sharp edges, but any research should always see that you cut down to size every so often.
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