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prestonjbyrne's profile
Preston Byrne
Preston Byrne
Preston Byrne
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Preston ByrneVerified account

@prestonjbyrne

Country lawyer, Fellow of the @ASI, marmot herder

prestonbyrne.com
Joined June 2010

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    Preston Byrne‏Verified account @prestonjbyrne Feb 7

    Preston Byrne Retweeted Farhad Manjoo

    Your job, @fmanjoo, only exists because Carlos Slim - a Mexican billionaire - bailed out the New York Times in 2009 and saved it from a $1.1 billion debt cliff. There's a lesson there.https://twitter.com/fmanjoo/status/1093303211820146689 …

    Preston Byrne added,

    Farhad ManjooVerified account @fmanjoo
    Abolish Billionaires. When American capitalism sends us its billionaires, it’s not sending its best. Here’s my ⁦@nytopinion⁩ column on a pretty good idea to combat tech-driven inequality. https://nyti.ms/2DVFzj9?smid=nytcore-ios-share …
    7:47 AM - 7 Feb 2019
    • 1,829 Retweets
    • 5,641 Likes
    • NATGAS Mille Vie Roi Hate Follows Made in the USA AdrianVV Sean Lawson Stephanie Abhishek Pandya Liz 🇺🇸
    192 replies 1,829 retweets 5,641 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Preston Byrne‏Verified account @prestonjbyrne Feb 7

        Preston Byrne Retweeted Farhad Manjoo

        So, @fmanjoo, billionaires don't swim in cash a la Scrooge McDuck because cash depreciates. Instead they buy securities e.g. share warrants in @nytimes, allowing issuers or their groups to service debt, survive crises and create jobs, such as your own.https://twitter.com/fmanjoo/status/1093539440130023424 …

        Preston Byrne added,

        Farhad ManjooVerified account @fmanjoo
        Replying to @prestonjbyrne
        What’s the lesson?
        14 replies 142 retweets 671 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Preston Byrne‏Verified account @prestonjbyrne Feb 7

        HNWI individuals, @fmanjoo, take on the risk of failure of a venture such as the "failing" @nytimes by financing it until it can turn a profit, as NYT does today. Scaring billionaires offshore is really saying you want to scare their investment cash offshore. You don't want that.

        9 replies 85 retweets 481 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Preston Byrne‏Verified account @prestonjbyrne Feb 7

        You don't have to like billionaires to like an abundance of risk capital. I like people who invest in businesses like new healthcare startups, electric cars, and reusable rockets. This creates jobs. I like jobs. Therefore I like risk capital. Billionaires provide it.

        11 replies 149 retweets 660 likes
        Show this thread
      5. Preston Byrne‏Verified account @prestonjbyrne Feb 7

        Preston Byrne Retweeted Farhad Manjoo

        To do $250MM convertible debt deals, e.g. the 2009 @nytimes bailout, it helps to have one guy worth $50bn. 500 people worth $2MM shouldn't invest $500K of their net worth in one high risk investment, but 1 guy worth $50bn can absorb a $250MM hit.https://twitter.com/fmanjoo/status/1093564524244791296 …

        Preston Byrne added,

        Farhad ManjooVerified account @fmanjoo
        Replying to @prestonjbyrne
        Why are you under the impression that one’s net worth needs to be greater than $1,000,000,000 in order to provide risk capital? Are 500 millionaires not capable of the same?
        7 replies 104 retweets 604 likes
        Show this thread
      6. Preston Byrne‏Verified account @prestonjbyrne Feb 7

        If you had ever closed a deal with just one investor, @fmanjoo, instead of just writing "soak the rich!," you would know why closing one with 500 is considerably more difficult. But you're an opinion writer, not an opinion doer. It's understandable why you might not get it.

        23 replies 142 retweets 1,094 likes
        Show this thread
      7. Preston Byrne‏Verified account @prestonjbyrne Feb 7

        The existence of billionaires provides the scale of investment required for complex international enterprises - Tesla, SpaceX, and yes, the New York Times - to exist. Lose the profit motive and you lose the billionaires and the scale. See: Venezuela and the collapse of PVDSA.

        12 replies 107 retweets 527 likes
        Show this thread
      8. Preston Byrne‏Verified account @prestonjbyrne Feb 7

        Otherwise, the only organizations that will be able to do these deals are states and banks. States will make a hash of it because they're incompetent and banks are bureaucratic and expensive. HNWIs by contrast can move quickly and introduce dynamism into a market economy.

        7 replies 55 retweets 350 likes
        Show this thread
      9. Preston Byrne‏Verified account @prestonjbyrne Feb 7

        Preston Byrne Retweeted Farhad Manjoo

        You referred to 500 millionaires. 1bn/500 = 2MM. If you meant "2x $500MM," it means you need to herd more cats to close the same deals. This means the deal terms will be worse for the borrower e.g. the NYT because that's what happens in syndications.https://twitter.com/fmanjoo/status/1093572577631465472 …

        Preston Byrne added,

        Farhad ManjooVerified account @fmanjoo
        Replying to @prestonjbyrne @nytimes
        It’s weird that your two options are people worth $2 million and people worth $50 billion. I asked about people worth $500 million. Are they too poor for risk capital?
        3 replies 45 retweets 293 likes
        Show this thread
      10. Preston Byrne‏Verified account @prestonjbyrne Feb 7

        More friction, higher cost of funds = bad for the economy, harder to get financing. Less friction, lower cost of funds = good for the economy, because the NYT can borrow cheaply and apply the savings on debt service to employee salaries and investment in the biz. @fmanjoo

        2 replies 38 retweets 223 likes
        Show this thread
      11. Preston Byrne‏Verified account @prestonjbyrne Feb 7

        Preston Byrne Retweeted Farhad Manjoo

        And incidentally, one can be "too poor" for risk capital. The U.S. has a legal threshold of e.g. $1 million for "accredited investor" status. Anything below that and public policy may block certain investors from making certain kinds of investments.https://twitter.com/fmanjoo/status/1093572577631465472 …

        Preston Byrne added,

        Farhad ManjooVerified account @fmanjoo
        Replying to @prestonjbyrne @nytimes
        It’s weird that your two options are people worth $2 million and people worth $50 billion. I asked about people worth $500 million. Are they too poor for risk capital?
        4 replies 42 retweets 232 likes
        Show this thread
      12. Preston Byrne‏Verified account @prestonjbyrne Feb 7

        The reason is because folks with a net worth of less than $1 million shouldn't make risky bets. They should be accumulating so they can retire. Billionaires don't need to worry about accumulation, so they deploy their capital. Creating jobs like @fmanjoo's in the process.

        6 replies 44 retweets 275 likes
        Show this thread
      13. Preston Byrne‏Verified account @prestonjbyrne Feb 7

        Preston Byrne Retweeted Farhad Manjoo

        Think bigger. One man with $1bn net worth wouldn't have been enough to save the NYT in 2009. Slim had $50bn. Without him, it's likely NYT would have folded during the Great Financial Crisis and your entire newsroom wouldn't exist. Chew on that for a bit.https://twitter.com/fmanjoo/status/1093576903749861376 …

        Preston Byrne added,

        Farhad ManjooVerified account @fmanjoo
        Replying to @prestonjbyrne
        Tell me all the numbers between $1 million and $1 billion. I think there are several at least
        14 replies 54 retweets 339 likes
        Show this thread
      14. Preston Byrne‏Verified account @prestonjbyrne Feb 7

        "But why would it have folded?" Because in 2009, regulated banks, the @nytimes' only other financing option, had their backs to the wall, wouldn't really start lending again for years, and the NYT needed to refinance. Bank-sized family offices saved a lot of good businesses.

        36 replies 42 retweets 263 likes
        Show this thread
      15. Preston Byrne‏Verified account @prestonjbyrne Feb 7

        The best responses to this thread: "durr haven't you ever heard of a PE fund? We don't need billionairz to make investments 'cause we have those!!!111!" The stupid. It hurts.

        6 replies 28 retweets 221 likes
        Show this thread
      16. Preston Byrne‏Verified account @prestonjbyrne Feb 7

        Preston Byrne Retweeted SUPERBLOOD MOONWOLF  🌑 🐺 🌑

        Another favorite. Wealth isn't zero-sum, people. It's not like rich people have "our stuff" because they're rich. They have money, which they spend, which keeps other people employed.https://twitter.com/delmoi/status/1093648916292214784 …

        Preston Byrne added,

        SUPERBLOOD MOONWOLF  🌑 🐺 🌑 @delmoi
        Replying to @prestonjbyrne @nytimes
        If wealth was capped at $900 million dollars there would have been a much, much larger population of multimillionaires to borrow money from. the cash would still be there it would just be in different hands.
        5 replies 72 retweets 295 likes
        Show this thread
      17. Preston Byrne‏Verified account @prestonjbyrne Feb 7

        e.g., Jeff Bezos is "rich" because he owns a lot of shares in a company which he turned into a global juggernaut. People will buy those shares at their fair market price. To the extent his wealth derives from the value of Amazon stock, it was wealth created ex nihilo, not stolen.

        15 replies 59 retweets 308 likes
        Show this thread
      18. Preston Byrne‏Verified account @prestonjbyrne Feb 7

        Preston Byrne Retweeted TurbulenceFlow

        Amen. The perennial gale of creative destruction giveth and it taketh away. See: Theranos, where the risk of a potentially very lucrative venture was borne by billionaires - and the bet went south.https://twitter.com/TurbulenceFlow/status/1093669161782439936 …

        Preston Byrne added,

        TurbulenceFlow @TurbulenceFlow
        Replying to @prestonjbyrne
        It is also wealth that can be destroyed ex nihilo, for some reason a lot of people seem to forget that.
        7 replies 34 retweets 210 likes
        Show this thread
      19. Preston Byrne‏Verified account @prestonjbyrne Feb 8

        Preston Byrne Retweeted

        Billionaires didn't force NYT to take out a $1.1 billion loan, nor was anyone obliged to step in and refinance it. The subprime crisis wasn't created by HNWI family offices but by middle management compensation at G-SIFIs + lax rules around risk retention. https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1093866963556880384 …

        Preston Byrne added,

        This Tweet is unavailable.
        4 replies 33 retweets 155 likes
        Show this thread
      20. Preston Byrne‏Verified account @prestonjbyrne Feb 8

        Oh, @mattyglesias, *and* something referred to as the "Greenspan Put," whereby the Fed carried on a ridiculously expansionary monetary policy for decades, at the behest of the U.S. political class, which manifested itself as rampant asset price inflation.

        8 replies 17 retweets 149 likes
        Show this thread
      21. Preston Byrne‏Verified account @prestonjbyrne Feb 9

        Preston Byrne Retweeted Preston Byrne

        What's the word for a person who has $500MM? Quincentimillionaire? Nobody appears to have used it before (per Google) but, seeing that the "it's better to have 2 people with $500MM instead of 1 billionaire" argument is a thing now, I think we need a word.https://twitter.com/prestonjbyrne/status/1093575131207819267 …

        Preston Byrne added,

        Preston ByrneVerified account @prestonjbyrne
        You referred to 500 millionaires. 1bn/500 = 2MM. If you meant "2x $500MM," it means you need to herd more cats to close the same deals. This means the deal terms will be worse for the borrower e.g. the NYT because that's what happens in syndications. https://twitter.com/fmanjoo/status/1093572577631465472 …
        Show this thread
        9 replies 4 retweets 35 likes
        Show this thread
      22. End of conversation

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