Expectation over possible evidence of the difference between our current and future belief is zero, but...
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Replying to @preinfarction
@preinfarction But we can still expect to become more confident in some unknown direction.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @preinfarction
@preinfarction I.e. expectation over observations of abs diff between future belief and 0.5 is greater than abs diff between P(H) and 0.5?1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
@preinfarction What are the properties of this? What are we saying about our evidence if we expect it to establish greater confidence in us?
9:57 AM - 24 Sep 2015
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