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politicalmath's profile
PoliMath
PoliMath
PoliMath
@politicalmath

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PoliMath

@politicalmath

Only marginally compelling and occasionally accurate, sometime writer, engineer, cake-baker. Writes Marginally Compelling newsletter http://polimath.substack.com 

Gulf of Guinea
polimath.substack.com
Joined April 2009

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    1. PoliMath‏ @politicalmath 24 Jul 2020

      PoliMath Retweeted CNN

      this is incredibly annoying b/c by mid march we almost certainly had a million cases the case count is not a representation of reality but a complicated confluence of case surges & testing capacityhttps://twitter.com/CNN/status/1286494655161536513 …

      PoliMath added,

      CNNVerified account @CNN
      Johns Hopkins University data records the US' first Covid-19 case on January 21. The US went from: 1 to 1 million cases in 99 days 1 million to 2 million cases in 43 days 2 million to 3 million cases in 28 days 3 million to 4 million cases in 15 days https://cnn.it/3hwDkn6  pic.twitter.com/hzQi0mfocE
      10 replies 59 retweets 267 likes
      Show this thread
    2. PoliMath‏ @politicalmath 24 Jul 2020

      Michigan is a great example of how early case counts didn't accurately measure the situation. If you look at cases only, you'd think that Iowa and Illinois had much worse infections that Michigan did /2pic.twitter.com/tAn73Q3OMM

      1 reply 4 retweets 39 likes
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      PoliMath‏ @politicalmath 24 Jul 2020

      But that clearly is not the case. What happened was that we had no testing in the early weeks of this crisis so, if we're only looking at cases, we complete missed the fact that Michigan got hit much harder than any midwest statepic.twitter.com/WHMnEO7yKj

      12:16 PM - 24 Jul 2020
      • 12 Retweets
      • 81 Likes
      • the Honest Contrarian Reimagining Politics I See Dead People Voting Frumious Falafel Eliyahu Switzer David E Jackson Miller Jason Broander YourMansAndThem
      7 replies 12 retweets 81 likes
        1. PoliMath‏ @politicalmath 24 Jul 2020

          (all this is from my post trying to look at every state in the US with context)https://polimath.substack.com/p/your-states-covid-numbers-in-context …

          4 replies 8 retweets 45 likes
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        1. Jenny Suspenders‏ @JenSuspenders 24 Jul 2020
          Replying to @politicalmath

          We've been hovering 2-4% positive test rate here in MI since June. Feels like current case uptick has peaked (hopefully)

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. That Dubious Cat™‏ @ThatDubiousCat 24 Jul 2020
          Replying to @politicalmath

          That Dubious Cat™ Retweeted That Dubious Cat™

          https://twitter.com/ThatDubiousCat/status/1286746448491622401?s=19 …

          That Dubious Cat™ added,

          That Dubious Cat™ @ThatDubiousCat
          pic.twitter.com/EzCS9P301y
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          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Gruff Sparty‏ @GruffSparty_ 24 Jul 2020
          Replying to @politicalmath

          And not only that, it was the SE side that got smashed hardest. Kent County (Grand Rapids) finally saw a big peak recently, but the SE side is mostly where the massive surge was at the beginning. Testing has been generally terrible here and that must play a role.

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        1. Daniel T‏ @DanielTobias_ 25 Jul 2020
          Replying to @politicalmath

          So states now have more tools to contain the virus than Michigan initially had. Yet those states are still failing.

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        1. Daniel T‏ @DanielTobias_ 25 Jul 2020
          Replying to @politicalmath

          Wow Michigan made A LOT of progress. Kudos to their government.

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