A hung parliament depending on Parties of Northern Ireland is not unlikely but there's no real projections of what will happen there.
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Don't think so. It's hard to because it's so fragmented. Much easier to use uniform swing with Conservative-Labour marginals...
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Means its next to impossible to guess who will be Prime Minister if there's a hung parliament :/
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Think a hung parliament where NI makes a difference is incredibly unlikely. That said, we can pretty safely predict DUP 7/8/9, Sinn Fein 4/5
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If there's a hung parliament, NI will 100% play a part. Only DUP will coalition with Tories Labour will be so far behind they'd need support
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The only situation where Northern Ireland makes a difference is if the Conservatives get 310-320 MPs. Chances of that are so slim.
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Yes that's what I've already said. NI will only be relevant under a hung parliament, and Tories will only be up to 20 seats short under one.
End of conversation
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