The fact that life appeared almost immediately after the Earth settled down implies that it’s widespread across the galaxy.
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OK, an MC with absorbing state. :-) But what about an HMC, i.e. different planets having different transition probabilities?
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Ah, now I see. By "it’s widespread across the galaxy" you meant that are lots of planets like Earth, rather than most planets. But why limit it to the galaxy? :-)
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Although I don't think single celled life evolving into humans is commonplace. If we play the earth movie a billion times would we always end up with something as intelligent as humans? I doubt it. We got really lucky with the asteroids wiping out the dinosaurs etc. (1)
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