As we know, the notion that migrants commit a lot of crimes is a far-right fantasy, which bears no connection to reality.
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That’s what the sophisticates believe anyway, but it’s not what the data show.
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According to the data released a few weeks ago, foreigners have a crime rate ~3.5 that of Germans. For asylum seekers the factor is ~7.3.pic.twitter.com/31V7Zq7jUC
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For the record, this excludes violations of immigration law, so it doesn’t explain the disparity.
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Also, foreigners are mostly European immigrants, whose crime rate is presumably about the same as Germans.
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Thus, for immigrants who come from outside Europe but aren’t asylum seekers, the ratio is probably much higher.
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In the case of violent crime, the ratio is ~5 for foreigners and ~15.1 for asylum seekers.pic.twitter.com/BzjDVdluw5
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It’s about the same — ~4.9 and ~15.3 respectively — for crimes that led to dangerous and serious personal injuries.pic.twitter.com/Fc9OHj2Cam
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For sexual assaults and rape, the ratio is ~5.2 for foreigners and ~15.2 for asylum seekers.pic.twitter.com/GfvhA4G9pY
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Think about that the next time you hear a feminist talk about the evil of German rape culture.
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The same pattern holds across a wide variety of crimes.pic.twitter.com/edZK2bNZ65
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Foreigners are ~4.8 times more likely to commit murder, asylum seekers ~10.6 times.
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In the case of gangrape, the ratio is ~10.3 for foreigners, and a whopping 42.7 for asylum seekers!
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Again, when it comes to rape culture, German men clearly have a lot to learn from recent arrivals!
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These figures are based on people investigated by the police, so bias could play a role.
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Perhaps victims are more likely to report committed by immigrants and/or police more likely to investigate.
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But the disparities are way too large for this to explain more than a small fraction.
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Moreover, many of the victims of immigrants are probably immigrants themselves, and immigrants are presumably less likely to report.
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So it seems unlikely that, in general, crimes committed by immigrants are more likely to be reported.
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It’s possible that police is more likely to investigate crimes committed by immigrants/asylum seekers.
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But given how the ratios vary depending on type of crime, such a bias, if it exists, is unlikely to be very large.
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This kind of bias would presumably be more obvious for less serious crime, because there is less at stake so cops are freer to act on bias.
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However, looking at the data, the opposite seems to be true. Disparity is much larger for murder and rape than for non-violent crime.
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The fact that immigrants skew male and young is no doubt part of the story, but there is no way it explains all of it.
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It's also of dubious relevance: if you have been raped, you don't care whether it's because your assailant was male & young or an immigrant.
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Same remarks for socio-economic status and other variables associated with crime beside nationality and immigrant status.
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People aren't sociologists, what they care about is whether immigration increases crime, not *why* it does.
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It's easy for the sophisticates to protest that it's immoral to reject people because they are poor, uneducated, etc.
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They know it's not on their neighborhoods immigrants will be dumped. Generosity is cheap when it comes at the expense of other people.
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Now have a look at these statistics again and compare them to how the media talks about this issue. Do you notice anything? Yeah, me too...
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