Read this if you want to be depressed.https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/31/us/politics/trump-approval-rating.html …
I dunno, I found Nate Silver’s argument compelling, which was roughly: Consider the convention bounce that presidential candidates get after the convention. You would interpret a smaller-than-usual bounce as a *bad* sign for that candidate, right?
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Hmm… I suppose. But a convention is a one-time event that mostly influences people who are already interested in politics. With the virus, hopefully things will be calmer in November but who knows, and ..
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.. the article suggests part of the bounce is coming from people who don’t normally pay attention to politics but are tuning into Trump’s coronavirus briefings. Who may then be more interested in voting in November (although probably not by much).
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That’s analogous to the situation Trump is in with the rally-around-the-flag effect. Trump “should” ordinarily be getting a huge bounce like the governors are. But he’s not.
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His polling bump is smaller than governors and foreign leaders but he's not running against governors and foreign leaders, he's running against Joe Biden. I was going to continue, "...who gets no bump", then realized I'm not sure if that's true. Has /that/ been polled?
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