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Paul Portesi ن proslijedio/la je Tweet
This is true and every Chinese blame government for this. We made the same mistake we did 17 years ago for SARS. Hopefully, people will learn the lesson this time.
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Paul Portesi ن proslijedio/la je Tweet
"Opportunities are much harder to quantify than costs... since you can choose which of those opportunities you actually exploit, opportunity tends to skew positive." I could listen to
@rorysutherland all day. Credit also to@ember_sadat &@AhsanDeliri for their questions/input.https://twitter.com/ember_sadat/status/1223798108607467521 …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Paul Portesi ن proslijedio/la je Tweet
Pages 8-11 Friends, looking for typos/errors. Thanks againpic.twitter.com/IkhwN5OLlr
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Paul Portesi ن proslijedio/la je TweetHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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Paul Portesi ن proslijedio/la je Tweet
When you work on a home, especially an older home, you are physically inserted into a stream of knowledge that you only partially see. You have to be careful and humble as you tinker to understand and repair instead of ruin.https://twitter.com/normonics/status/1224328063531520003 …
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Paul Portesi ن proslijedio/la je Tweet
The best part of being an applied mathematician is that you get to "play in everyone's backyard" as John Tukey put it. I've had the opportunity to work in areas I never expected: video games, human fertility, nutrition, drones, medical devices, ... It's been great fun.
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Modernity information is designed to trick & mislead you through evidence-based analysis. Many risk events aren't in the distribution. "risk happens in the future"
@nntaleb You manage now to prepare for future risk events. Filter your information & trust your instincts.Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Paul Portesi ن proslijedio/la je Tweet
Excellent article on the ideologically-driven “conservation” practice of defacing historical buildings and destroying their harmony by insisting that any additions be incompatible, unsympathetic and inorganic modern designs. ...https://twitter.com/wrathofgnon/status/1224134819342237696 …
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Paul Portesi ن proslijedio/la je Tweet
Complacency means we do not get a say how deadly coronavirus is going to behttps://twitter.com/yaneerbaryam/status/1224326377475923968 …
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Paul Portesi ن proslijedio/la je Tweet
The thing that worries me about
@AndrewYang is that I don't know anything bad about him.Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Paul Portesi ن proslijedio/la je Tweet
Adapt to survive emergents v’s command and control technocrats we won a battle but the war isn’t going wellhttps://twitter.com/normonics/status/1224336070042669059 …
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Paul Portesi ن proslijedio/la je Tweet
The sum of independent Poisson random variables has a Poisson distribution.
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Paul Portesi ن proslijedio/la je Tweet
Today’s
#Offshorecomic. wealth -> intelligence -> wealth -> intelligence -> ... umh, wha? | inspired by@sean_a_mcclure For more visit https://buff.ly/2FtBAIE For my books https://buff.ly/32k8OVz pic.twitter.com/FAi18kW72C
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Paul Portesi ن proslijedio/la je Tweet
Despite the claimed need for global governance, what's really needed for much risk mitigation is local sovereignty Those "on the ground" must be able to manage their exposure without coercion from distant authorities with divergent interests
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Paul Portesi ن proslijedio/la je Tweet
... policy and expectations about what could happen absent the policy. Counterfactual (what didn’t happen) never observable. Thus, the gap can never be verified ex post. In some cases, past evidence/observation can be a good proxy for counterfactual. In other cases, not.
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Paul Portesi ن proslijedio/la je Tweet
In some cases, bad policy can produce "evidence" and good policy can prevent "evidence" from arising. A problem for "evidence-based" policy. It can be reconciled by recognizing that policy/action should be based on the gap between what you expect to have happen with the ...https://twitter.com/StinsonAnalytic/status/1224354844871405570 …
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Paul Portesi ن proslijedio/la je Tweet
Seems to be a failure to understand that what is considered to be "evidence" ex post (i.e., the future path ex ante) is not independent of collective action/policy but may be very heavily influenced by it.
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Paul Portesi ن proslijedio/la je Tweet
«We shall not cease from exploration, and the end of all our exploring will be to arrive where we started and know the place for the first time» - T. S. Eliot [Mandelbrot set zoom, magnification 1 .. 3.18 × 10³¹ https://buff.ly/2VJ9be7 ]
#MotivationMonday#MathMondaypic.twitter.com/kOxAnu1pXLHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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Paul Portesi ن proslijedio/la je Tweet
The only cure for anti-nature is the re-introduction of nature (emergence).https://twitter.com/normonics/status/1224336070042669059 …
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