Agree. The average age of my most favorite SF books goes up the more SF I read.
The accelerating growth of technology means science fiction will have an ever shorter shelf life.
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It seems unlikely, because you don't just have to imagine a future but predict the future, and that is very, very hard.
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Great science fiction is much more about people than technology and keeps better, longer.
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That's a wise choice, but even if you don't focus on tech it's hard to write about the future without leaving yourself vulnerable to it.
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It should evolve to become social fiction. Society changes at the rate generations are replaced.
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Rather, all fiction is now historical fiction or science fiction. The present is even more reduced than the future.
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Luddite fiction on the other hand
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Disagree. Good SF isn't purely about the tech. The classics from early 20th century still hold up.
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There's mileage in shifting focus from future tech ("tech will be") towards exploring alternative tech paths ("tech could/would/should be")
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flipside: science fiction writers will look like geniuses shortly after they write vs multiple decades/centuries later
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