Confidence and denial are remarkably similar in their effect on your behavior, but disastrously different in their effect on your results.
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How to distinguish denial from persistence/grit?
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By whether you're getting results.
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This is worth having some heuristics. Wait how long for results? aka the time? Even die hard fans do not indicate large enough market fit
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How many?
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Maybe 10% of each batch.
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Are those 10% who are more open to honest feedback more successful than the others (or no difference or less successful)?
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The groups that were doing badly and came and asked me about it did a lot better than the ones doing badly who didn't.
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You have time now to really succeed: https://medium.com/the-future-of-everything/ecommerce-disruption-simply-yet-powerfully-demonstrated-43c415b1aca4 …
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were those that asked more likely to be failing or not failing?
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Not failing.
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If we're not in a batch, can we still ask you?
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You could ask, but the problem is that I don't know the answer.
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is it usually obvious (with your experience), or do you often see a few that are bad, then get lucky/turn themselves around all of a sudden?
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Sometimes groups turn themselves around. That's why I make this offer.
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Maybe switch to 'succeeding' & see whether it yields greater numbers.
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It's harder to give a definite answer about that in the early stages.
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Agreed - but it doesn't really matter - you could give exactly the same feedback as you would if they came with the 'failing' question.
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Why do you think that is?
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In some cases, dreading what the answer might be. In others, believing (correctly or incorrectly) that they weren't.
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