Contrary to what many people assume, when child mortality is low then population growth tends to be low, not high. http://OurWorldInData.org pic.twitter.com/p6Mk5pj7y9
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To illustrate this important same point differently: women always wanted 2 surviving kids: extra births are related to child mortality.pic.twitter.com/LY2YG7JAqo
It would be even more convincing if you put net surviving kids on the y axis rather than total births. Flat line at 2 = you're right.
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And put total number of births on the x axis, though this is not as critical to prove your point.
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Thanks to both of you! I'll look at that data this week and make the chart you suggest.
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Not quite: aiming at two may still mean you can 'overinsure' when mortality is high=having more kids. Net result will then be pop growth.
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But a good suggestion nevertheless !
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