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paulg's profile
Paul Graham
Paul Graham
Paul Graham
Verified account
@paulg

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Paul GrahamVerified account

@paulg

paulgraham.com
Joined August 2010

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    Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg Mar 27

    The rule that one can disregard claims about AI coming soon has served me well for 30 years, but I see signs it may stop working.

    1:56 AM - 27 Mar 2017
    • 94 Retweets
    • 281 Likes
    • Work Anywhere Now Eric Schulz 🚀 💡 隐姓埋名fail Carlos J. Hernandez Sam Pavlovic Antonis Polemitis Bao Aditya Ankur Antti Virtanen
    18 replies 94 retweets 281 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. joshua schachter‏ @joshu Mar 27
        Replying to @paulg

        ai is stilll very far away. Better to think of deep learning as a new kind of regression

        1 reply 1 retweet 3 likes
      3. Sarah Austin‏Verified account @sarahaustin Mar 27
        Replying to @joshu @paulg

        interesting perspective. What type of regression would you compare deep learning to? #ML

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      4. joshua schachter‏ @joshu Mar 27
        Replying to @sarahaustin

        it's more of an analogy. Run some process, get parameters.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      5. End of conversation
    1. DG‏ @Prophet_DG Mar 27
      Replying to @paulg

      IA - Infinite Automation is a better name for doable Artificial Intelligence

      0 replies 1 retweet 4 likes
      Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
    2. nick kokonas‏ @nickkokonas Mar 27
      Replying to @paulg

      define AI. It's already crushing the world. General AI not far behind.

      0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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    3. 5 Pixels Studio‏ @Reno_Web_Design Mar 28
      Replying to @paulg

      AI is coming soon to replace Donald, Paul, Elon, Mark & Sergey too :-(pic.twitter.com/yimb7SsM0i

      0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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    4. cglee‏ @cglee Mar 27
      Replying to @paulg

      would love an essay on this topic.

      0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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    5. Ethan Stillman‏ @estill01 Mar 27
      Replying to @paulg

      Like what? Largely agree, but curious your perspective. Thanks. Very cool time to be hacking the things.

      0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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    6. Ryan Jennings‏ @ryan2dotzero Mar 27
      Replying to @paulg

      I fired my part time PA recently and replaced her with 'Amy' saving $390pm.https://medium.com/@ryaninnz/the-two-board-level-business-problems-with-ai-heres-how-to-fix-them-897e86772c75?source=linkShare-28d3212a0d21-1490606039 …

      0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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    7. Ruslan Suvorov‏ @ruslanvs1 Mar 29
      Replying to @paulg

      but we need something beyond neural networks perhaps. An insane person has a neural network in their brain just as well...

      0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. James Brewer‏ @brwr_ Mar 27
        Replying to @paulg

        1/ I think we've got a lot more work to do before general intelligence is a thing. But the curve for AI will probably be exponential.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. James Brewer‏ @brwr_ Mar 27
        Replying to @brwr_ @paulg

        2/ Is there any evidence that we're at an important inflection point? What do you know that I don't?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
    8. André‏ @aeveltstra Mar 27
      Replying to @paulg

      A.i. has been around for decades, hasn't it? Games perform collision detection, predict opponents' moves, develop new challenges?

      0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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    9. Manuel Hernandez‏ @manuelhe Mar 27
      Replying to @paulg

      mo memory, mo memory, mo memory! It's letting us do everything we every dreamed of doing.

      0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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    10. BatteryHorse‏ @BatteryHorse Mar 27
      Replying to @paulg

      Well, that's it, then. Replace "...in thirty years" with Graham's Law: "Signs it may be changing". That'll be good for awhile. 😊

      0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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    11. Bob Bouthillier‏ @BobBouthillier Mar 27
      Replying to @paulg

      Did Siri or Alexa tell you that AI is coming soon? 'Cause they may be biased. ☺️

      0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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    12. Sigurt Bladt Dinesen‏ @Bladtman Mar 27
      Replying to @paulg

      I think it holds in general. "Within x years we'll see y product" can be disregarded, unless said by someone working precisely on y.

      0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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    13. catcoder‏ @crankycatcoder Mar 27
      Replying to @paulg

      Super domain-specific, non-generalizable "AI" that takes oodles of money to perfect? Sure. Unless I'm a truck driver, not sure I care

      0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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    14. теле‏ @phunckys Mar 27
      Replying to @paulg

      dude, punctuation is your friend!

      0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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    15. Shane‏ @tswhitworth Mar 28
      Replying to @paulg

      spill it

      0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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