Ladbrokes thinks there's a better than 50% chance Trump will be impeached or resign during his first term. https://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/betting/politics/american/specials/donald-trump-specials/222881036/ …
-
they also thought there was less than a 20% chance of him winning the day before the election.
Possibly. But this is easier to predict, because you're predicting what political insiders will do, not fickle voters.
