do you see the arbitrage opportunity
Ladbrokes thinks there's a better than 50% chance Trump will be impeached or resign during his first term. https://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/betting/politics/american/specials/donald-trump-specials/222881036/ …
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@alphaideas I think there is better than 50% chance of Ladbrokes' thinking getting wrongThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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they also thought there was less than a 20% chance of him winning the day before the election.
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Possibly. But this is easier to predict, because you're predicting what political insiders will do, not fickle voters.
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Nitpick: "Leave office via impeachment" is a much stronger statement than "impeached". The latter just means starting a trial.
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I had placed a bet: actually got better odds on later (year 4) than sooner (2,3). British bookie.
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That's <50:50 and same as it's been.
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Like so many startup ideas, Trump impeachment is really easy to imagine, but tough has hell to execute.
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I like that probability
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Allen Lichtman only one who predicted t.'s victory Through a pattern recognition model Was ignored before elections sidelined after
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check out Scott Adams who also predicted it.
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