"The biggest wins are almost always long. 100→1 is tougher for compounding than 1→100." – Evan Goldfine
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If the optimist is right, he gets the further advantages of applying the idea. The cynic only gets to say "I told you so."
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This analysis is complicated somewhat by the large number of broke optimists and well-off (if not wealthy) cynics. Cynicism is safer.
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Broad cynicism won't get you up in the morning to risk and do something. (I'm still in the long process of shedding my own.)
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...as long as the "0" in 1→0 doesn't mean "dead"
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Had the same thoughts yesterday
@paulg. -
believing foolishly allows you to make progress and maybe realize you're wrong. Cynicism doesn't?
End of conversation
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cc Warren B
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thinking confirmation bias also probably plays into this. The optimist more likely to find ways to make it work than the cynic.
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Optimism is the faith that leads achievement. Nothing can be done without hope and confidence.
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@paulg if optimist & right, then yes. If optimist & wrong, then no. Same for cynic. So, right compounds > wrong. Not as catchy thoThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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