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paulg's profile
Paul Graham
Paul Graham
Paul Graham
Verified account
@paulg

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Paul GrahamVerified account

@paulg

paulgraham.com
Joined August 2010

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    Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg 14 Mar 2017

    "The biggest wins are almost always long. 100→1 is tougher for compounding than 1→100." – Evan Goldfine

    4:13 PM - 14 Mar 2017
    • 45 Retweets
    • 111 Likes
    • Hoolie Andrew Clark Mike Steve Vafier Anakin mainak Ryan Johnson Mirek Mencel Sohil Gupta
    6 replies 45 retweets 111 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg 14 Mar 2017
        Replying to @paulg

        This seems to apply to more than investing. It's why it's better to be a foolish-seeming optimist than a clever cynic.

        1 reply 34 retweets 81 likes
      3. Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg 14 Mar 2017
        Replying to @paulg

        If the optimist is right, he gets the further advantages of applying the idea. The cynic only gets to say "I told you so."

        14 replies 233 retweets 339 likes
      4. Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg 14 Mar 2017
        Replying to @paulg

        Optimism compounds better than cynicism.

        9 replies 201 retweets 322 likes
      5.  🎃 John Feminella ⏣‏ @jxxf 14 Mar 2017
        Replying to @paulg

        This analysis is complicated somewhat by the large number of broke optimists and well-off (if not wealthy) cynics. Cynicism is safer.

        2 replies 1 retweet 11 likes
      6. Evan Goldfine‏ @IsThisMyMoney 14 Mar 2017
        Replying to @jxxf @paulg

        Broad cynicism won't get you up in the morning to risk and do something. (I'm still in the long process of shedding my own.)

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      7.  🎃 John Feminella ⏣‏ @jxxf 14 Mar 2017
        Replying to @IsThisMyMoney @paulg

        Don't get me wrong; I think most cynics are miserable compared to the optimists. But it can be hard being an optimist.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      8. End of conversation
      1. Martin Green‏ @marting 14 Mar 2017
        Replying to @paulg

        agree: that said, if you want to understand the pov of a "good" short seller: Chanos. https://ftalphaville.ft.com/2016/04/25/2160002/podcast-jim-chanos-on-the-art-of-short-selling/ …

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. Joe Du Bey‏ @joe_du_bey 14 Mar 2017
        Replying to @paulg

        optimists have unlimited upside (call option) whereas pessimists have capped (put). Why call options price higher than puts.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. Bond Lady‏ @wideclops 21 Mar 2017
        Replying to @paulg

        @ashfontana this is the biggest confusion.... Buffet suggests to be "unenthusiastic...boring" ???

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Super‏ @superherointj 17 Mar 2017
        Replying to @paulg

        tell that to Nokia. Blackberry.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. joannes‏ @jan359180 14 Mar 2017
        Replying to @paulg

        optimists go and grow with life in general, pessimist go and win on specific growth failures, which are destructive but scares!

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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