Others may be reassured to hear Trump has only a 15% chance of winning, but it terrifies me. In Silicon Valley 15% is a good chance.
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does not work that way. One 15% chance is not the same as thousands of 15% chances
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foolish founder who bets on 15%. Founders influence probabilities so a set ratio doesn't work on a case by case basis.
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what we should be afraid of is momentum that influences probability. I don't see him building momentum but momentum can change.
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